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Indian Navy’s manpower conundrum

A few years ago, a large warship was commissioned by the Indian Navy. It seems a little ridiculous to say that since the Navy has been commissioning large warships for some time now. But the news which followed a few weeks later carried much greater implication for planners and armchair analysts like me with nothing better to do than split hairs over the details.

            So, for the sake of this exercise let’s assume that it was the guided missile destroyer INS Kolkata, the lead ship of its class, which was commissioned in August 2014. It had taken more than 10 years from the laying of the keel in September 2003 to the ship’s own tryst with destiny a full 67 years after the country’s independence. Quite obviously, it would have spent much time on the drawing boards and in the minds of planners and designers from well before 2003. The government however accorded sanction for its manpower after the ship was commissioned in August 2014.

            Now, it is safe to assume that a destroyer with an approximate displacement of 7500 tons and bristling with weapons, machinery, armaments and sensors would need a sizeable crew to perform the critical functions required for it to float, move & fight. This crew would presumably comprise of an officer of the rank of Captain with more than 20 years of service and a number of officers of the rank of Commander, Lieutenant Commander and Lieutenant of varying seniority across different branches like Executive, Engineering, Electrical, Logistics, etc. with different specialisations like Gunnery, Aviation, Navigation, Communication, etc. as well as sailors from these same branches of different ranks, seniority & specialisation.

            Quite clearly, for the crew to gain proficiency in their respective fields commensurate with their respective seniority and rank, before being posted onboard INS Kolkata would take a number of years…in fact, upward of 20 years for the Captain & a few of the most senior sailors. This would not normally be a problem if INS Kolkata was replacing a ship of similar type & class since theoretically, the crew from the ship being decommissioned would simply move to the ship being commissioned. But if that was the case, the government wouldn’t have needed to accord a separate sanction for its manpower. INS Kolkata was therefore an addition to the sanctioned strength of the Indian Navy.

            As per information available from the 4th report of the Standing Committee on Defence (2014-15), the Indian Navy had a force level of 127 ships, 15 submarines and 236 aircraft while in 2012, DAC had approved 198 ships and submarines for the Indian Navy. Leaving the numbers of aircraft aside for the time being, the Navy is therefore projected to grow by a total of 56 ships and submarines in the foreseeable future after taking into account any ships or submarines which would retire or be decommissioned during the same time period. For the sake of argument, let us assume INS Kolkata to be the first of the 56.  

            I am a novice in the world of finance and economics and have to frequently take the assistance of an auditor to file my tax returns. But if my understanding of budgetary calisthenics is correct, the acquisition of these 56 ships & submarines would be accounted under Capital expenditure. The expenses to maintain these ships, submarines and of course the personnel who would man them would however be budgeted under Revenue expenditure.

            So while Capital expenses are considered to be “one-off” in nature & incurred to acquire assets, Revenue expenses are incurred to meet ongoing operational costs of that asset & are recurring in nature. Notionally however, both kinds of expenses would have to be considered while deciding to accord the government’s sanction for the addition of a new ship to the existing “sanctioned” strength of the Navy. In fact, what you are thinking is right, the Navy prepares a comprehensive case which includes the material as well as manpower assets whenever a case for fresh “government sanction” is required to be taken up as must have been the case with INS Kolkata. Logically speaking, since the manpower to run the ship should ideally be in place when the ship is commissioned into service, the government sanction for manpower should be accorded along with that for the ship at the very least. This time lapse between government sanction for the ship and the government sanction for its manpower would in part explain the perennial shortage of personnel that the Indian Navy seems to be grappling with.

            According to an independent website, in 2016, the Indian Navy had a sanctioned strength of 11,384 officers & 67,639 enlisted personnel for a total of 79,023 personnel and there was a shortage of 1,518 officers and 9,640 enlisted personnel for a total shortage of 11,158 personnel. A news website quoting the Defence Minister also reported on 27 Dec 17 that the current manpower strength of the Indian Navy is 67,228 personnel & the number of “vacant positions” is 16,225.
         
   The terms “shortage” or “vacant” seem to imply that the Navy for some strange reason is unable to find enough suitable candidates in one of the most populous countries in the world! This is nothing but a mis-representation of facts & the website probably misunderstood the Defence Minister thereby giving rise to “alternative facts”, as popularised by one of Mr. Trump’s advisers. Theoretically speaking, notwithstanding the classification of this existing manpower gap of 16,225 to close it would necessitate the speed of capital asset inductions to be slowed while decommissioning the older vessels at a faster rate. However, apart from this solution being unpalatable, it would still not cater for the expansion in sanctioned strength…that figure of 56 ships & submarines which the DAC has approved as the growth element.            

            Quite clearly then, the rate of addition of capital assets would also depend on the Navy’s ability to absorb the inductions with the existing manpower. And that is where the term “Manning Plan” for a unit comes in. I would define it as the sharing of poverty. Basically, it is the method by which the existing sanctioned strength of manpower for the sanctioned units is distributed between units whose manpower sanction hasn’t yet materialised on the ground (think INS Kolkata’s case) as well as “unsanctioned” units. The latter are units which are required by the Navy to effectively do its job but have not yet been accorded government sanction.

            So, what we have from the Defence Minister’s reported assertion regarding manpower shortages is just the tip of the proverbial iceberg. This iceberg will only grow in size and not just because of new inductions but also due to the need to constantly review and revise the manpower for already sanctioned units which have been operating for years. I am referring to the Naval bases and establishments here.

            With the growth of the Navy over the past 70 years in terms of capital inductions in the form of ships, submarines and aircraft the task of the support units which supply and house them or train their manpower or inspect their equipment or provide medical/ legal aid, etc. etc. has also grown. While the government sanction for new inductions do cater to a limited extent for this back-end support, it is but a drop in the ocean. The support units themselves are fighting a constant battle to upgrade infrastructure but, what about the addition of manpower to handle the increase in infrastructure, the increase in the training load, the requirement for support to more ships/ submarines/ aircraft?

            From my experience, I have found that units generally depend on the Manning Plan to bail them out. In effect, depending on redistribution of existing manpower without actually seeking a government sanction for additional manpower to satisfactorily discharge their duties commensurate with their enhanced role & scope of operations. To illustrate, in one of the units served, the last government sanction for additional manpower had been accorded in 1978! Almost four decades down the line and with a vastly enhanced scope, not only did the unit not have adequate manpower, its borne strength of officers had never reached the manpower sanctioned in 1978! This gap of sanctioned strength and borne strength was taking place because of the “sharing of poverty”, that is to meet the requirements of other sanctioned units whose manpower was yet to be recruited/ trained as well as those unsanctioned units which are yet to receive the government’s sanction. The magnitude of the adverse effect that this situation can have on our training and battle preparedness can only be guessed at.        

            Is anyone doing something to address the situation? In the field of training, at least one Vice Admiral who retired recently did recognise the enormity of the problem. Unfortunately, the game of musical chairs in Flag ranks at that point in time put paid to his vision. For the manpower situation to be addressed on a war footing, we need every unit to critically review its current manpower requirement and higher formations to factor in the future requirements for each unit based on growth projections for that Area/ Command to meet the higher Naval directives for force build-up & augmentation of infrastructure.

            A Navy should be involved in re-equipping in terms of men & material as well as constantly training in times of peace to prepare for conflict. Manpower underpins all of this. We choose to ignore the one for the other at our own peril.
                      



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